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Red414
1323185.2
6174119.8
3256147.0
Blue122
4135142.4
199139.4
7229105.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361263100200300400500600414122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.26.6
170.8177.4
Auto26.2
Teleop128.3
End30.9
red by 42.8
142.40.9
146.2145.3
Auto20.9
Teleop105.2
End15.2
Second
3256
#16
147.00.1
146.3146.3
Auto19.6
Teleop114.2
End13.3
red by 7.6
199
#35
139.40.9
138.7139.6
Auto20.7
Teleop104.3
End13.1
Third
6174
#22
119.81.8
121.6119.8
Auto15.9
Teleop95.4
End6.8
red by 14.4
7229
#28
105.40.7
104.7105.4
Auto14.7
Teleop83.5
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed