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Qual 822018 Sacramento Regional
Red195
1662132.8
6238108.6
1351121.5
Blue428
6619111.7
3482130.1
1678236.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2184260100300500600700195428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1662
#48
132.80.2
132.4→132.5
Auto15.0
Teleop97.6
End20.7
blue by 103.5
1678
#1
236.33.3
228.5→231.9
Auto31.0
Teleop158.2
End49.2
Second
1351
#37
121.50.8
120.6→121.5
Auto13.7
Teleop97.6
End8.3
blue by 8.6
3482
#27
130.13.0
122.9→125.9
Auto16.8
Teleop103.7
End9.6
Third
6238
#53
108.62.7
106.0→108.6
Auto15.4
Teleop84.2
End9.0
blue by 3.1
6619
#33
111.70.7
111.0→111.7
Auto13.4
Teleop89.0
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed44%Face the Boss oddsEarned