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Qual 852018 Sacramento Regional
Red262
701152.9
3257112.2
4698128.7
Blue264
3615116.3
2085122.7
6059104.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3352310100200300400500600262264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#30
152.91.4
154.2→152.9
Auto27.5
Teleop115.5
End7.7
red by 30.2
2085
#55
122.70.2
122.8→122.7
Auto14.6
Teleop97.4
End9.5
Second
4698
#31
128.72.6
126.1→128.7
Auto13.7
Teleop97.8
End17.8
red by 12.4
3615
#43
116.33.6
112.7→116.3
Auto15.1
Teleop89.6
End15.8
Third
3257
#62
112.24.6
116.8→112.2
Auto16.2
Teleop88.0
End4.7
red by 7.5
6059
#54
104.74.5
109.2→104.7
Auto12.6
Teleop83.9
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed