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Qual 862018 Sacramento Regional
Red248
981125.2
3859133.2
5458114.6
Blue297
5817143.9
6644110.7
5274122.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311280100200400500248297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3859
#19
133.21.6
131.5→133.2
Auto17.6
Teleop101.2
End16.5
blue by 10.7
5817
#12
143.94.6
136.5→141.1
Auto17.7
Teleop106.3
End23.2
Second
981
#40
125.24.2
121.0→125.2
Auto15.5
Teleop96.4
End18.4
red by 2.6
5274
#39
122.60.1
122.7→122.6
Auto17.7
Teleop88.4
End19.4
Third
5458
#52
114.60.1
114.5→114.6
Auto14.9
Teleop88.5
End13.2
red by 4.0
6644
#41
110.71.3
109.4→110.7
Auto12.9
Teleop86.2
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed