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Qual 872018 Sacramento Regional
Red367
2551135.8
1458120.5
3482130.1
Blue219
2367114.6
3880139.2
5250102.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3292640100200300400500600367219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2551
#42
135.80.3
135.5→135.8
Auto19.8
Teleop103.5
End14.7
blue by 3.4
3880
#59
139.21.4
135.7→137.1
Auto15.4
Teleop104.7
End19.4
Second
3482
#27
130.12.9
125.9→128.8
Auto16.8
Teleop103.7
End9.6
red by 15.5
2367
#44
114.64.1
120.8→116.7
Auto15.0
Teleop88.6
End11.5
Third
1458
#10
120.50.5
121.2→120.8
Auto16.2
Teleop90.5
End12.2
red by 18.5
5250
#57
102.10.6
101.4→102.1
Auto13.7
Teleop82.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed