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Red468
1323222.6
1678254.2
4698148.0
Blue236
1197174.6
1538202.4
5104145.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444303100200400500600700468236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254.20.2
254.7254.5
Auto30.6
Teleop172.0
End48.3
red by 51.8
202.40.2
202.1202.3
Auto22.9
Teleop155.6
End24.3
Second
222.60.4
221.9222.3
Auto29.1
Teleop154.1
End39.3
red by 48.0
174.60.3
174.1174.4
Auto18.7
Teleop134.1
End20.7
Third
4698
#20
148.00.1
148.2148.2
Auto15.6
Teleop112.1
End18.9
red by 2.6
5104
#24
145.50.2
145.2145.4
Auto16.5
Teleop112.3
End17.9