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Quarterfinal 4-32018 Central Valley Regional
Red197
5458126.8
696152.4
972123.0
Blue407
5026162.6
3970147.3
2854127.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278354100200400500600197407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#5
152.40.2
152.3→152.4
Auto21.1
Teleop120.0
End10.9
blue by 10.1
5026
#10
162.60.3
161.9→162.1
Auto23.7
Teleop123.6
End14.4
Second
5458
#9
126.80.5
126.3→126.8
Auto19.3
Teleop90.6
End17.2
blue by 20.5
3970
#8
147.30.2
146.7→146.9
Auto17.5
Teleop118.1
End10.7
Third
972
#34
123.00.2
123.3→123.0
Auto16.9
Teleop96.8
End8.1
blue by 4.1
2854
#36
127.20.0
127.1→127.1
Auto15.7
Teleop102.0
End7.8