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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Central Valley Regional
Red347
5458126.8
696152.4
972123.0
Blue301
5026162.6
3970147.3
2854127.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274361100200400500600347301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#5
152.40.2
152.1→152.3
Auto21.1
Teleop120.0
End10.9
blue by 10.1
5026
#10
162.60.4
161.5→161.9
Auto23.7
Teleop123.6
End14.4
Second
5458
#9
126.80.5
125.8→126.3
Auto19.3
Teleop90.6
End17.2
blue by 20.5
3970
#8
147.30.3
146.4→146.7
Auto17.5
Teleop118.1
End10.7
Third
972
#34
123.00.3
123.5→123.3
Auto16.9
Teleop96.8
End8.1
blue by 4.1
2854
#36
127.20.1
126.9→127.1
Auto15.7
Teleop102.0
End7.8