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Quarterfinal 3-12018 Central Valley Regional
Red425
1197174.6
1538202.4
5104145.5
Blue186
4201141.6
5700148.5
2643152.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions416265100200300500600700425186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#3
202.40.2
201.4→201.6
Auto22.9
Teleop155.6
End24.3
red by 50.3
2643
#21
152.10.6
151.0→151.6
Auto20.2
Teleop114.6
End17.9
Second
1197
#4
174.60.4
172.7→173.1
Auto18.7
Teleop134.1
End20.7
red by 26.1
5700
#11
148.50.2
148.2→148.4
Auto19.5
Teleop102.7
End28.9
Third
5104
#24
145.50.2
144.3→144.6
Auto16.5
Teleop112.3
End17.9
red by 3.9
4201
#15
141.60.2
141.3→141.5
Auto21.5
Teleop109.9
End9.4