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Red389
1197174.6
1538202.4
5104145.5
Blue108
5026162.6
3970147.3
2854127.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424237100200300500600700389108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.40.2
201.9202.1
Auto22.9
Teleop155.6
End24.3
red by 39.8
5026
#10
162.60.1
162.4162.6
Auto23.7
Teleop123.6
End14.4
Second
174.60.3
173.8174.1
Auto18.7
Teleop134.1
End20.7
red by 27.3
147.30.1
147.2147.3
Auto17.5
Teleop118.1
End10.7
Third
5104
#24
145.50.2
145.0145.2
Auto16.5
Teleop112.3
End17.9
red by 18.3
2854
#36
127.20.1
127.2127.2
Auto15.7
Teleop102.0
End7.8