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Red216
2085137.3
6305109.0
3495139.1
Blue312
1197174.6
1662148.5
5852104.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2713370100200400500600700216312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3495
#23
139.10.8
131.0131.7
Auto16.4
Teleop103.7
End20.7
blue by 35.5
174.61.9
156.3158.2
Auto18.7
Teleop134.1
End20.7
Second
2085
#18
137.31.5
123.4124.8
Auto16.3
Teleop108.8
End12.5
blue by 11.2
1662
#16
148.50.5
132.7133.3
Auto19.0
Teleop102.7
End27.2
Third
6305
#12
109.01.6
108.6107.0
Auto19.0
Teleop82.8
End9.0
red by 4.6
5852
#45
104.45.4
93.198.5
Auto13.4
Teleop84.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed