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Red468
649157.0
3970147.3
1678254.2
Blue67
1388154.6
3045105.9
766104.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions462181010030040050060070080046867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254.22.0
238.0239.9
Auto30.6
Teleop172.0
End48.3
red by 99.6
154.62.2
142.2144.4
Auto20.4
Teleop119.4
End13.5
Second
649
#6
157.00.7
154.0153.3
Auto20.2
Teleop125.5
End10.9
red by 51.1
3045
#35
105.90.1
106.9106.8
Auto18.4
Teleop81.3
End7.8
Third
147.30.9
141.9141.0
Auto17.5
Teleop118.1
End10.7
red by 43.2
766
#39
104.00.2
107.9107.7
Auto15.9
Teleop82.0
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
59%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed