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Red444
5419127.6
7057110.2
1323222.6
Blue173
3859128.2
972123.0
1671152.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314298200250350400450444173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222.63.5
187.8191.3
Auto29.1
Teleop154.1
End39.3
red by 70.4
1671
#19
152.21.7
150.9152.7
Auto20.5
Teleop108.9
End23.1
Second
5419
#14
127.60.3
120.8121.1
Auto16.2
Teleop98.4
End14.0
blue by 0.6
3859
#29
128.22.9
134.3131.4
Auto17.8
Teleop92.8
End21.2
Third
7057
#31
110.20.8
102.1101.2
Auto14.8
Teleop88.0
End6.9
blue by 12.8
972
#34
123.01.4
120.1121.5
Auto16.9
Teleop96.8
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed