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Red264
3045105.9
5134127.9
972123.0
Blue322
5852104.4
5700148.5
3189122.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256294100150200350400450264322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5134
#37
127.93.6
109.3112.9
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End15.7
blue by 20.6
5700
#11
148.52.2
133.1135.3
Auto19.5
Teleop102.7
End28.9
Second
972
#34
123.00.5
122.0121.5
Auto16.9
Teleop96.8
End8.1
red by 1.0
3189
#28
122.02.2
108.5110.7
Auto14.6
Teleop95.3
End13.1
Third
3045
#35
105.90.6
105.4106.0
Auto18.4
Teleop81.3
End7.8
red by 1.5
5852
#45
104.41.0
102.6103.6
Auto13.4
Teleop84.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed