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Red236
4160137.3
1671152.2
5458126.8
Blue354
6926117.9
3970147.3
6506116.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3232640100200400500600700236354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#19
152.20.7
152.9152.3
Auto20.5
Teleop108.9
End23.1
red by 5.0
147.30.8
141.2142.0
Auto17.5
Teleop118.1
End10.7
Second
4160
#25
137.32.4
125.7128.1
Auto17.6
Teleop107.1
End11.4
red by 19.4
6926
#40
117.95.6
95.4101.0
Auto14.8
Teleop95.2
End7.5
Third
126.81.4
117.0118.4
Auto19.3
Teleop90.6
End17.2
red by 10.3
6506
#33
116.56.8
102.1108.9
Auto15.8
Teleop91.6
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed