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Red258
2443130.4
6305109.0
3045105.9
Blue377
5419127.6
6926117.9
5104145.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220341100300400500600258377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2443
#26
130.42.0
133.7131.7
Auto20.7
Teleop101.6
End9.6
blue by 15.1
5104
#24
145.50.2
142.8142.6
Auto16.5
Teleop112.3
End17.9
Second
6305
#12
109.00.5
104.4103.9
Auto19.0
Teleop82.8
End9.0
blue by 18.6
5419
#14
127.62.0
125.2127.2
Auto16.2
Teleop98.4
End14.0
Third
3045
#35
105.90.4
106.7106.3
Auto18.4
Teleop81.3
End7.8
blue by 12.1
6926
#40
117.94.9
106.9111.8
Auto14.8
Teleop95.2
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed