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Qual 472018 Central Valley Regional
Red577
1323222.6
671191.2
3303120.3
Blue160
5852104.4
3970147.3
709687.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3572180100300400500577160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
#2
222.62.8
202.7→205.5
Auto29.1
Teleop154.1
End39.3
red by 75.3
3970
#8
147.30.1
143.5→143.7
Auto17.5
Teleop118.1
End10.7
Second
3303
#22
120.30.7
112.3→113.0
Auto16.2
Teleop94.6
End9.5
red by 15.9
5852
#45
104.41.2
106.4→107.6
Auto13.4
Teleop84.5
End4.8
Third
6711
#47
91.22.8
99.7→96.9
Auto15.1
Teleop69.2
End5.3
red by 3.6
7096
#46
87.61.7
105.6→103.9
Auto15.1
Teleop70.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed