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Red165
3859128.2
299106.3
671191.2
Blue412
5700148.5
5134127.9
1662148.5
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2163860100300500600165412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3859
#29
128.20.3
125.3125.0
Auto17.8
Teleop92.8
End21.2
blue by 20.3
1662
#16
148.52.1
138.9141.1
Auto19.0
Teleop102.7
End27.2
Second
299
#32
106.30.3
103.2102.9
Auto12.2
Teleop83.8
End11.9
blue by 42.2
5700
#11
148.51.6
139.5141.1
Auto19.5
Teleop102.7
End28.9
Third
6711
#47
91.20.3
96.996.5
Auto15.1
Teleop69.2
End5.3
blue by 36.7
5134
#37
127.91.9
117.6119.5
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed64%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsEarned