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Red381
6657119.3
1197174.6
1422114.8
Blue172
5852104.4
3303120.3
4201141.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313270100200400500600381172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174.61.7
165.2166.9
Auto18.7
Teleop134.1
End20.7
red by 33.0
4201
#15
141.60.1
142.0142.1
Auto21.5
Teleop109.9
End9.4
Second
6657
#17
119.32.4
110.8113.2
Auto15.6
Teleop92.5
End11.9
blue by 1.0
3303
#22
120.31.1
113.0114.1
Auto16.2
Teleop94.6
End9.5
Third
1422
#44
114.83.0
105.9108.9
Auto15.0
Teleop89.1
End12.3
red by 10.5
5852
#45
104.40.6
107.6107.0
Auto13.4
Teleop84.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed