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Red248
6926117.9
3045105.9
6804102.8
Blue345
5274121.3
7057110.2
2854127.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270266150200250300350400248345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6926
#40
117.93.6
111.8115.4
Auto14.8
Teleop95.2
End7.5
blue by 9.3
2854
#36
127.20.1
120.4120.3
Auto15.7
Teleop102.0
End7.8
Second
3045
#35
105.90.0
106.3106.3
Auto18.4
Teleop81.3
End7.8
blue by 15.4
5274
#38
121.30.6
120.7120.1
Auto16.6
Teleop85.4
End18.5
Third
6804
#30
102.81.8
102.1103.9
Auto13.9
Teleop79.5
End13.9
blue by 7.4
7057
#31
110.20.7
104.8105.5
Auto14.8
Teleop88.0
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed