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Red334
2443130.4
5852104.4
3495139.1
Blue317
2854127.2
1671152.2
6699111.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2833090100200400500600700800334317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3495
#23
139.10.6
134.1134.7
Auto16.4
Teleop103.7
End20.7
blue by 13.2
1671
#19
152.20.3
150.8150.5
Auto20.5
Teleop108.9
End23.1
Second
2443
#26
130.40.7
130.4129.7
Auto20.7
Teleop101.6
End9.6
red by 3.2
2854
#36
127.20.7
120.3121.0
Auto15.7
Teleop102.0
End7.8
Third
5852
#45
104.42.0
107.0105.1
Auto13.4
Teleop84.5
End4.8
blue by 7.0
6699
#41
111.31.1
113.0111.8
Auto17.9
Teleop81.8
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed