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Red196
4698148.0
6926117.9
4160137.3
Blue449
1678254.2
5104145.5
3859128.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2444340100200300400500600196449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#20
148.01.0
145.2146.2
Auto15.6
Teleop112.1
End18.9
blue by 106.2
254.21.1
248.8249.9
Auto30.6
Teleop172.0
End48.3
Second
4160
#25
137.31.5
133.3134.8
Auto17.6
Teleop107.1
End11.4
blue by 8.2
5104
#24
145.50.6
142.5141.9
Auto16.5
Teleop112.3
End17.9
Third
6926
#40
117.91.5
115.4116.9
Auto14.8
Teleop95.2
End7.5
blue by 10.3
3859
#29
128.20.0
125.0125.0
Auto17.8
Teleop92.8
End21.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed72%Face the Boss oddsEarned