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Red365
2643152.1
6506116.5
2854127.2
Blue157
5134127.9
6657119.3
692109.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335266100200300400500365157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2643
#21
152.11.5
142.9144.4
Auto20.2
Teleop114.6
End17.9
red by 24.2
5134
#37
127.92.9
119.5122.5
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End15.7
Second
2854
#36
127.20.8
121.0121.8
Auto15.7
Teleop102.0
End7.8
red by 7.9
6657
#17
119.32.6
113.2115.8
Auto15.6
Teleop92.5
End11.9
Third
6506
#33DQ
116.52.4
122.3119.9
Auto15.8
Teleop91.6
End10.1
red by 6.7
692
#42
109.80.2
110.2110.4
Auto16.3
Teleop81.4
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed