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Red280
5104145.5
6804102.8
4698148.0
Blue407
5026162.6
649157.0
1671152.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2333900100200300500600280407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#20
148.00.4
146.2146.6
Auto15.6
Teleop112.1
End18.9
blue by 14.5
5026
#10
162.61.3
155.6156.9
Auto23.7
Teleop123.6
End14.4
Second
5104
#24
145.50.2
141.9142.1
Auto16.5
Teleop112.3
End17.9
blue by 11.5
649
#6
157.00.6
156.4155.7
Auto20.2
Teleop125.5
End10.9
Third
6804
#30
102.82.7
104.2101.5
Auto13.9
Teleop79.5
End13.9
blue by 49.4
1671
#19
152.20.1
150.5150.6
Auto20.5
Teleop108.9
End23.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed