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Red309
6926117.9
1662148.5
3303120.3
Blue266
766104.0
3189122.0
1422114.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356247100200300400500600309266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1662
#16
148.50.9
147.4148.3
Auto19.0
Teleop102.7
End27.2
red by 26.5
3189
#28
122.01.2
119.9121.0
Auto14.6
Teleop95.3
End13.1
Second
3303
#22
120.32.0
116.4118.4
Auto16.2
Teleop94.6
End9.5
red by 5.5
1422
#44
114.80.8
113.6114.3
Auto15.0
Teleop89.1
End12.3
Third
6926
#40
117.90.3
117.6117.9
Auto14.8
Teleop95.2
End7.5
red by 13.9
766
#39
104.00.2
103.6103.9
Auto15.9
Teleop82.0
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed