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Red350
4160137.3
5700148.5
6699111.3
Blue448
2813117.3
1197174.6
2854127.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306326100200400500600350448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5700
#11
148.50.8
146.4147.2
Auto19.5
Teleop102.7
End28.9
blue by 26.1
174.61.0
170.5171.5
Auto18.7
Teleop134.1
End20.7
Second
4160
#25
137.30.5
135.9136.5
Auto17.6
Teleop107.1
End11.4
red by 10.1
2854
#36
127.21.9
122.9124.8
Auto15.7
Teleop102.0
End7.8
Third
6699
#41
111.30.6
111.9111.3
Auto17.9
Teleop81.8
End11.5
blue by 6.0
2813
#13
117.30.3
116.4116.7
Auto16.6
Teleop87.8
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed