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Red170
7057110.2
5134127.9
295137.9
Blue482
5104145.5
3495139.1
649157.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2633740100200300500600170482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
295
#43
137.90.7
140.0139.3
Auto19.7
Teleop109.0
End8.8
blue by 19.0
649
#6
157.00.1
155.4155.5
Auto20.2
Teleop125.5
End10.9
Second
5134
#37
127.91.8
125.9127.8
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End15.7
blue by 17.6
5104
#24
145.50.5
142.7143.2
Auto16.5
Teleop112.3
End17.9
Third
7057
#31
110.21.2
108.9110.1
Auto14.8
Teleop88.0
End6.9
blue by 28.8
3495
#23
139.10.6
136.3136.8
Auto16.4
Teleop103.7
End20.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed