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Red309
3970147.3
299106.3
5458126.8
Blue221
5852104.4
692109.8
4698148.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327270100200300400500309221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
147.30.8
144.3145.1
Auto17.5
Teleop118.1
End10.7
blue by 0.8
4698
#20
148.00.4
147.5147.9
Auto15.6
Teleop112.1
End18.9
Second
126.81.1
122.9124.0
Auto19.3
Teleop90.6
End17.2
red by 17.0
692
#42
109.80.3
110.4110.1
Auto16.3
Teleop81.4
End14.3
Third
299
#32
106.30.8
104.7105.4
Auto12.2
Teleop83.8
End11.9
red by 2.0
5852
#45
104.40.4
104.0104.3
Auto13.4
Teleop84.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed