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Red245
3045105.9
6657119.3
3859128.2
Blue284
696152.4
2085137.3
709687.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282303100150200250350400450500245284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3859
#29
128.20.7
126.8127.5
Auto17.8
Teleop92.8
End21.2
blue by 24.2
696
#5
152.41.4
149.5150.9
Auto21.1
Teleop120.0
End10.9
Second
6657
#17
119.31.0
117.3118.4
Auto15.6
Teleop92.5
End11.9
blue by 18.0
2085
#18
137.30.3
136.7137.0
Auto16.3
Teleop108.8
End12.5
Third
3045
#35
105.90.5
104.7105.3
Auto18.4
Teleop81.3
End7.8
red by 18.3
7096
#46
87.62.0
91.489.4
Auto15.1
Teleop70.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed