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Red285
3303120.3
649157.0
1422114.8
Blue412
5419127.6
5458126.8
3495139.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314305100200400500600285412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#6
157.00.8
155.5156.2
Auto20.2
Teleop125.5
End10.9
red by 17.9
3495
#23
139.11.1
136.8138.0
Auto16.4
Teleop103.7
End20.7
Second
3303
#22
120.31.4
118.4119.9
Auto16.2
Teleop94.6
End9.5
blue by 7.3
5419
#14
127.60.5
127.1127.6
Auto16.2
Teleop98.4
End14.0
Third
1422
#44
114.80.5
114.3114.8
Auto15.0
Teleop89.1
End12.3
blue by 11.9
126.81.2
124.0125.2
Auto19.3
Teleop90.6
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed