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Red250
6506116.5
295137.9
5700148.5
Blue338
766104.0
5817141.2
2085137.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316289100200400500250338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5700
#11
148.51.0
147.2148.2
Auto19.5
Teleop102.7
End28.9
red by 7.3
5817
#27
141.20.0
140.4140.4
Auto17.1
Teleop106.6
End19.1
Second
295
#43
137.91.4
139.3137.9
Auto19.7
Teleop109.0
End8.8
red by 0.6
2085
#18
137.30.0
137.0137.0
Auto16.3
Teleop108.8
End12.5
Third
6506
#33
116.50.3
116.8116.5
Auto15.8
Teleop91.6
End10.1
red by 12.4
766
#39
104.00.2
103.9104.0
Auto15.9
Teleop82.0
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed