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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Orange County Regional
Red457
1836163.8
5802195.1
7157108.0
Blue355
4415144.3
294156.3
4276140.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351322100200400500600457355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5802
#5
195.10.8
192.8→193.6
Auto23.5
Teleop144.4
End27.9
red by 38.8
294
#6
156.31.2
155.2→156.3
Auto20.7
Teleop123.0
End15.7
Second
1836
#9
163.80.5
162.4→162.8
Auto29.3
Teleop117.7
End15.3
red by 19.4
4415
#14
144.30.4
144.0→144.3
Auto20.4
Teleop103.3
End24.8
Third
7157
#28
108.00.2
107.3→107.5
Auto14.2
Teleop85.7
End7.4
blue by 32.6
4276
#20
140.70.6
140.1→140.7
Auto17.9
Teleop108.5
End14.1