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Red273
5810126.1
1515137.2
6072127.2
Blue409
3473137.8
5805153.3
812114.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2813170100200400500600273409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
137.20.6
135.5136.1
Auto15.9
Teleop101.2
End19.4
blue by 16.1
153.31.1
147.9149.0
Auto18.7
Teleop112.0
End27.8
Second
6072
#31
127.20.4
126.0126.4
Auto15.0
Teleop99.9
End11.6
blue by 10.6
3473
#12
137.80.3
135.8136.1
Auto17.0
Teleop109.1
End14.0
Third
5810
#15
126.10.8
124.0124.7
Auto16.9
Teleop100.7
End7.6
red by 11.9
812
#11
114.20.7
110.4111.1
Auto17.3
Teleop96.3
End5.4