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Quarterfinal 3-12018 Orange County Regional
Red361
5810126.1
1515137.2
6072127.2
Blue334
4079140.4
2496107.1
207138.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295309100200400500361334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1515
#3
137.20.5
134.5→135.0
Auto15.9
Teleop101.2
End19.4
blue by 3.2
4079
#21
140.41.2
138.0→139.2
Auto16.0
Teleop112.7
End15.1
Second
6072
#31
127.20.2
125.4→125.6
Auto15.0
Teleop99.9
End11.6
blue by 10.9
207
#13
138.20.1
138.0→138.0
Auto19.3
Teleop103.8
End14.0
Third
5810
#15
126.10.6
122.7→123.3
Auto16.9
Teleop100.7
End7.6
red by 19.0
2496
#8
107.10.6
105.9→106.5
Auto17.7
Teleop81.9
End10.4