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Red374
5810126.1
1515137.2
6072127.2
Blue290
4079140.4
2496107.1
207138.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303309150200250350400450500374290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
137.20.5
135.0135.5
Auto15.9
Teleop101.2
End19.4
blue by 3.2
4079
#21
140.41.2
139.2140.4
Auto16.0
Teleop112.7
End15.1
Second
6072
#31
127.20.3
125.6126.0
Auto15.0
Teleop99.9
End11.6
blue by 10.9
207
#13
138.20.1
138.0138.2
Auto19.3
Teleop103.8
End14.0
Third
5810
#15
126.10.7
123.3124.0
Auto16.9
Teleop100.7
End7.6
red by 19.0
107.10.6
106.5107.1
Auto17.7
Teleop81.9
End10.4