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Qual 12018 Orange County Regional
Red164
5477105.0
3491118.6
6499105.3
Blue153
696089.8
5512105.0
7025104.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2542690100200300400500164153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3491
#29
118.616.5
70.4→86.9
Auto14.2
Teleop95.8
End8.5
red by 13.7
5512
#43
105.017.2
63.8→81.0
Auto14.7
Teleop80.8
End11.2
Second
6499
#30
105.317.4
62.3→79.7
Auto14.6
Teleop76.7
End20.1
red by 1.3
7025
#39
104.026.3
104.0→77.7
Auto15.0
Teleop80.6
End11.2
Third
5477
#10
105.00.1
102.9→103.1
Auto16.8
Teleop79.6
End9.0
red by 15.1
6960
#50
89.812.1
89.8→77.7
Auto13.0
Teleop71.3
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed