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Qual 22018 Orange County Regional
Red360
5802195.1
1515137.2
812114.2
Blue111
4415144.3
704294.6
6072127.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3102440100200400500360111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5802
#5
195.12.7
170.3→173.0
Auto23.5
Teleop144.4
End27.9
red by 50.8
4415
#14
144.30.6
133.4→132.8
Auto20.4
Teleop103.3
End24.8
Second
1515
#3
137.21.2
120.9→119.7
Auto15.9
Teleop101.2
End19.4
red by 9.9
6072
#31
127.216.3
72.3→88.5
Auto15.0
Teleop99.9
End11.6
Third
812
#11
114.21.0
109.0→108.0
Auto17.3
Teleop96.3
End5.4
red by 19.7
7042
#47
94.60.3
104.8→104.5
Auto12.6
Teleop77.1
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed