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Red276
3491118.6
6535113.7
2496107.1
Blue51
347099.0
5966111.8
655496.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211298010040050060027651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3491
#29
118.610.7
86.997.6
Auto14.2
Teleop95.8
End8.5
red by 6.8
5966
#27
111.88.7
86.395.1
Auto14.2
Teleop87.2
End14.6
Second
6535
#25
113.713.4
72.585.9
Auto15.8
Teleop87.6
End10.1
red by 14.7
3470
#38
99.09.6
91.3100.9
Auto15.1
Teleop76.8
End10.8
Third
107.12.1
101.999.8
Auto17.7
Teleop81.9
End10.4
red by 10.4
6554
#52
96.74.8
109.0113.8
Auto14.4
Teleop74.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed