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Red108
329583.4
669294.7
4141112.8
Blue336
3476187.2
5477105.0
1515137.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2243140100200400500108336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4141
#32
112.80.2
115.3115.1
Auto15.2
Teleop87.3
End8.9
blue by 74.4
187.212.3
120.4132.7
Auto26.4
Teleop130.2
End29.9
Second
6692
#44
94.77.4
90.798.2
Auto13.4
Teleop73.6
End7.2
blue by 42.5
137.21.0
119.7120.6
Auto15.9
Teleop101.2
End19.4
Third
3295
#51
83.47.6
77.585.1
Auto13.7
Teleop67.7
End4.6
blue by 21.6
5477
#10
105.00.8
103.0102.2
Auto16.8
Teleop79.6
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned