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Red563
5802195.1
5810126.1
3309184.3
Blue131
550087.2
4322146.8
4161110.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3752060100300500600563131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5802
#5Sur
195.11.5
175.8177.2
Auto23.5
Teleop144.4
End27.9
red by 48.3
146.86.5
112.1118.6
Auto18.8
Teleop106.3
End24.8
Second
184.32.9
146.4149.3
Auto24.6
Teleop130.1
End34.4
red by 74.0
4161
#48
110.38.2
96.5104.6
Auto15.5
Teleop83.5
End12.2
Third
5810
#15
126.13.3
99.8103.1
Auto16.9
Teleop100.7
End7.6
red by 38.9
5500
#40Sur
87.25.1
86.691.7
Auto12.1
Teleop71.3
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed