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Red188
7157108.0
5209117.0
3759118.2
Blue239
5805153.3
5512105.0
4276140.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2033170100400500600700188239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3759
#35
118.26.5
100.4107.0
Auto15.9
Teleop91.9
End8.3
blue by 35.2
153.37.5
110.7118.2
Auto18.7
Teleop112.0
End27.8
Second
5209
#24
117.03.1
117.0113.9
Auto17.2
Teleop86.0
End16.7
blue by 23.6
4276
#20
140.76.8
115.1121.9
Auto17.9
Teleop108.5
End14.1
Third
7157
#28
108.07.0
89.196.2
Auto14.2
Teleop85.7
End7.4
red by 3.1
5512
#43
105.04.6
90.294.7
Auto14.7
Teleop80.8
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed