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Red61
6499105.3
4276140.7
550087.2
Blue230
6220107.7
1836163.8
5477105.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24928010015020030035040045061230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4276
#20
140.74.2
121.9126.1
Auto17.9
Teleop108.5
End14.1
blue by 23.1
163.81.0
156.2157.2
Auto29.3
Teleop117.7
End15.3
Second
6499
#30
105.32.4
106.4108.8
Auto14.6
Teleop76.7
End20.1
blue by 2.4
6220
#36
107.73.9
91.995.8
Auto13.7
Teleop86.1
End12.0
Third
5500
#40
87.22.3
91.794.0
Auto12.1
Teleop71.3
End7.8
blue by 17.8
5477
#10
105.00.6
102.7103.3
Auto16.8
Teleop79.6
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed