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Qual 362018 Orange County Regional
Red238
655496.7
207138.2
3473137.8
Blue408
5857123.1
1515137.2
5810126.1
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309253100150200350400450238408

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207
#13
138.24.5
127.1→131.6
Auto19.3
Teleop103.8
End14.0
red by 1.0
1515
#3
137.21.7
122.1→123.9
Auto15.9
Teleop101.2
End19.4
Second
3473
#12
137.80.8
130.3→131.1
Auto17.0
Teleop109.1
End14.0
red by 11.7
5810
#15
126.12.2
107.3→109.5
Auto16.9
Teleop100.7
End7.6
Third
6554
#52
96.70.6
113.2→112.7
Auto14.4
Teleop74.4
End4.0
blue by 26.3
5857
#33
123.12.1
107.8→109.9
Auto13.4
Teleop98.8
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed