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Qual 422018 Orange County Regional
Red177
5877118.7
2496107.1
7230125.0
Blue417
5634108.9
3309184.3
5209117.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262299100200400500177417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7230
#17
125.06.6
111.6→118.2
Auto16.6
Teleop92.2
End16.9
blue by 59.3
3309
#1
184.32.6
152.2→154.8
Auto24.6
Teleop130.1
End34.4
Second
5877
#41
118.73.8
101.8→105.6
Auto14.1
Teleop87.8
End17.6
red by 1.7
5209
#24
117.00.9
112.0→111.1
Auto17.2
Teleop86.0
End16.7
Third
2496
#8
107.10.8
98.5→99.3
Auto17.7
Teleop81.9
End10.4
blue by 1.8
5634
#45
108.91.5
94.5→96.0
Auto15.0
Teleop82.6
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed