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Red195
5835107.7
1159124.5
6904114.9
Blue340
3759118.2
6072127.2
4276140.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233306100200400500195340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1159
#18
124.54.6
108.3112.9
Auto16.0
Teleop93.9
End15.2
blue by 16.2
4276
#20
140.70.0
126.1126.1
Auto17.9
Teleop108.5
End14.1
Second
6904
#34
114.92.0
99.8101.7
Auto16.6
Teleop88.3
End11.9
blue by 12.3
6072
#31
127.22.9
109.0111.8
Auto15.0
Teleop99.9
End11.6
Third
5835
#22
107.71.4
103.9105.3
Auto17.2
Teleop83.2
End6.7
blue by 10.4
3759
#35
118.23.8
111.8115.6
Auto15.9
Teleop91.9
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed