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Red337
3473137.8
5857123.1
4056119.3
Blue170
299104.6
3759118.2
1159124.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280275100150200250300350400450337170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3473
#12
137.80.6
128.6129.2
Auto17.0
Teleop109.1
End14.0
red by 13.3
1159
#18
124.515.9
75.491.3
Auto16.0
Teleop93.9
End15.2
Second
5857
#33
123.116.7
68.284.9
Auto13.4
Teleop98.8
End14.0
red by 4.9
3759
#35
118.215.6
77.993.5
Auto15.9
Teleop91.9
End8.3
Third
4056
#42
119.316.7
68.385.0
Auto12.3
Teleop93.7
End13.4
red by 14.7
299
#49
104.615.9
75.691.5
Auto11.3
Teleop84.4
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed