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Red181
550087.2
5805153.3
7157108.0
Blue91
4999120.3
655496.7
329583.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257295020040060080018191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.314.7
86.7101.4
Auto18.7
Teleop112.0
End27.8
red by 33.1
4999
#37
120.315.8
76.492.2
Auto15.1
Teleop87.6
End17.5
Second
7157
#28
108.035.9
113.677.7
Auto14.2
Teleop85.7
End7.4
red by 11.3
6554
#52
96.713.8
95.2109.0
Auto14.4
Teleop74.4
End4.0
Third
5500
#40
87.218.0
57.075.0
Auto12.1
Teleop71.3
End7.8
red by 3.8
3295
#51
83.417.7
59.877.5
Auto13.7
Teleop67.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed