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Red252
3759118.2
4141112.8
4114110.3
Blue352
5810126.1
4276140.7
3491118.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2063360100300400500600252352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3759
#35
118.20.0
117.5117.5
Auto15.9
Teleop91.9
End8.3
blue by 22.5
4276
#20
140.72.8
133.5136.4
Auto17.9
Teleop108.5
End14.1
Second
4141
#32
112.80.1
112.6112.5
Auto15.2
Teleop87.3
End8.9
blue by 13.3
5810
#15
126.11.9
118.4120.3
Auto16.9
Teleop100.7
End7.6
Third
4114
#46
110.30.2
110.0109.8
Auto14.9
Teleop84.7
End12.2
blue by 8.3
3491
#29
118.61.0
115.7116.8
Auto14.2
Teleop95.8
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed