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Red60
704294.6
299104.6
207138.2
Blue315
5477105.0
4079140.4
4619115.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236309010020040050060315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207
#13
138.22.9
135.0137.9
Auto19.3
Teleop103.8
End14.0
blue by 2.2
4079
#21
140.45.1
129.3134.4
Auto16.0
Teleop112.7
End15.1
Second
299
#49
104.61.4
104.0105.4
Auto11.3
Teleop84.4
End9.6
blue by 10.8
4619
#19
115.42.5
111.2113.7
Auto14.2
Teleop90.9
End7.8
Third
7042
#47
94.60.4
96.195.7
Auto12.6
Teleop77.1
End7.1
blue by 10.4
5477
#10
105.00.1
104.5104.5
Auto16.8
Teleop79.6
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed