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Red285
3476187.2
6499105.3
347099.0
Blue403
5802195.1
1159124.5
5634108.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2833410100200400500600285403

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
187.24.5
175.2179.7
Auto26.4
Teleop130.2
End29.9
blue by 7.9
195.12.0
186.7188.6
Auto23.5
Teleop144.4
End27.9
Second
6499
#30
105.31.5
101.9103.5
Auto14.6
Teleop76.7
End20.1
blue by 19.1
1159
#18
124.50.8
123.7124.5
Auto16.0
Teleop93.9
End15.2
Third
3470
#38
99.01.1
96.397.4
Auto15.1
Teleop76.8
End10.8
blue by 9.9
5634
#45
108.92.1
104.8106.8
Auto15.0
Teleop82.6
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed